“Adding details to certain of the alternative future outcomes made them more probable in the minds of our respondents, even though logically the opposite must be the case” Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahnemann “In business, people want an answer quickly.  It doesn’t have to be the right answer …” Anonymous Forecasting, my day job,…

“We learn from history that we do not learn from history.” Georg Hegel I should begin by saying that I do not necessarily agree with quotations at the start of my blog posts.  They are comments that I have found to be thought-provoking – and I hope you do too – rather than definitive. In…